Monday, January 01, 2007

The Future of the Future

Despite having just one pick in the first one hundred and forty-eight picks the Cubs' draft produced three guys in Baseball Prospectus' Top 10 Prospects for the Cubs. This says as much about the state of the system as much as it does anything else, but it's still nice. Tim Wilken and company used cash to buy bigger names later in the draft, like power righty Chris Huseby.

This year the Cubs will have two picks in the first thirty-one picks, and only lose one of their picks instead of three. They will have the third pick in the draft and the first pick in the sandwich round. This year's draft class is as talented as anyone in recent memory. The top three prospects could be similar to Joe Mauer, Mark Teixeira and Mark Prior.

Quite a few draft prospect lists have been released already. There are some I have acccess to and others that I do not. When it comes to draft stuff, PG Crosschecker might be the best place for information, but their pay stuff is very expensive and their low level subscription does not even grant access to the lists and scouting reports. Baseball America's regular subscription gives access to a lot of BA stuff, but of course not the Prospect Plus stuff which is similar to PG's.

Baseball America's most recent list for 2007 high school draft prospects is from December 13. The top two players are pitchers Matt Harvey and Rick Porcello. A lot of other guys are interesting for the 31 pick for the Cubs, like a Michael Main, Justin Jackson or Neil Ramirez. The Cubs' system needs offensive prospects who are relatively advanced, so it's hard to see the Cubs going after a high school product ith the third pick.

In the college ranks the big three is impressive, but only one of them is an offensive threat. If Matt Wieters is there at the third pick, it's going to be hard to see the Cubs passing him up. Wieters will be profiled more on this blog, but he's a very good all-around hitter. Personally I love Andrew Brackman and David Price, but I just don't think the Cubs will go with either of them myself. Baseball America does have a top fifty prospects including college and high school, but the HS part of it is outdated as this was written on October 13.

For those of you who don't have a subscription at Baseball America and still want a nice list of prospects, always check out BrewerFan.net's 2007 Draft Database. It is an excellent place for information on the elite prospects that does not have a high price tag. And now, I have my favorite ten prospects for the draft as of right now.

1. David Price, LHP - Vanderbilt
2. Andrew Brackman, RHP - North Carolina State
3. Matt Wieters, C - Georgia Tech
4. Matt Harvey, RHP - Fitch HS (Conn)
5. Rick Porcello, RHP - Seton Hall Prep (NJ)
6. Michael Burgess, 1B/OF - Hillsborough HS (Fla)
7. Blake Beavan, RHP - Irving HS (Tx)
8. Michael Main, RHP - Deland HS (Fl)
9. Josh Vitters, 3B - Cypress HS (Cal)
10. JP Arencibia, C - Tennessee

As you can see the HS class is very deep in the top of the first round picks. Really there are a few guys who can go ahead of Arencibia, but I think advanced catchers are a great thing to have, just because catching is such a rarity.

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